Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun — Tips & Analysis

Over 3: Both of these teams turn up in busy games almost every week. Vikingur have had 3 or more goals in 15 of their last 20, and their games average more than 3 goals in total. They score more than 2 a game and let in more than a goal, so they are rarely in a quiet 1-0. At their own ground they are unbeaten in 7 games and score almost 3 a game. Thun bring the same pattern from the other side. Their games average almost 4 goals in total, and 12 of their last 17 had 3 or more. They let in more than 2 a game, and their last three league games included a 2-4 loss at Basel and a 0-6 at home to Young Boys. The shape of the night helps as well. Thun won the first game 3-0, so they can sit deep and break, and Vikingur have to pour bodies forward and leave space behind. Our read is a 2-1 to Vikingur, and this leg wants at least one more goal on top of that. The clear danger is a team 3 goals up killing the game stone dead. If Thun keep the ball and see it out, this could finish 1-0 and nowhere near what we want. We still want the busy game here.