Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.25: The round is over as a contest, and that is the strongest reason to expect a calmer night. Benfica lead 6-1 and have nothing left to chase. Silva is expected to rest Vangelis Pavlidis and give Jhon Duran the centre forward job, so this is not the side that scored six. Benfica are a different team away from Lisbon as well. They score almost 2 goals in each away game against more than 3 at home, and they lost 1-2 at St Gallen in this same competition. Hearts will make it hard. They have won seven of their last eight at Tynecastle and let in under a goal a game there. They beat Dundee United 4-0 at the weekend, their first win of the season, so they arrive with something to build on and no pressure on them. Neither side has many games with 4 or more goals in them. Our read is a 1-2 to Benfica, and that is exactly the kind of night this leg wants. The danger is obvious after a 6-1. Benfica have no fresh injury worries and could name a strong side, and 15 of their last 17 games have had 3 or more goals. Hearts' home record is built on Scottish league nights, and Sturm Graz won 2-0 at Tynecastle. We still want the quieter game.