Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Both teams come into this final short of their best attackers, and that is the strongest reason to expect a tight night. PSG have fitness doubts over Ousmane Dembele, Bradley Barcola, Desire Doue and Achraf Hakimi. That is most of their speed in the final third. Villa are without Leon Bailey and Amadou Onana, and they are unsure about Ollie Watkins and Emiliano Martinez. Take the best forwards out of both sides and chances get harder to find. This is also the first competitive game of the season for both. PSG have not played for 74 days and Villa for 80, so touch and timing will be off early. It is a one off final on neutral ground in Salzburg, and neither team wants to lose it in the first 20 minutes. Both defenses have been steady too, letting in a goal a game each. A cagey 1-1 looks the most likely finish, and that is the sort of scoreline we are backing. The honest worry is that both of these sides can score plenty. PSG and Villa both score more than 2 goals a game, and their games have produced just over 3 goals on average. Their two meetings in April 2025 finished 3-1 to PSG and 3-2 to Villa. If either front line clicks early, this gets away from us. We still expect caution and rust to win out.