Nottingham Forest vs Bayer Leverkusen — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Both of these teams have been in busy, open games, and that is the strongest reason we are backing goals. Forest's games have produced 3 goals in total on average, and Leverkusen's just over 3. Forest score almost 2 goals a game and let in more than a goal a game. 7 of their last 13 games had 3 or more goals. Leverkusen have been the leakier side. They let in more than a goal a game, and 7 of their last 14 games also had 3 or more goals. They score almost 2 a game themselves, so they carry a threat of their own. The night helps too. A sold out City Ground gets its last look at Forest before the season starts, and Leverkusen are chasing a sixth win from six in pre season. Neither side has a reason to sit back. Friendlies also stretch late on as both benches empty and the shape goes. We read this as a 2-1 Forest win, three goals, which is the sort of night we want. The warning is real, though. Forest did not lose any of their home games across those 13, and they let in under a goal a game there. This could stay tight if they take control early. Leverkusen also play Newcastle on 15 August, so they may rest players and take the sting out of it. We are still on the busier game.