Slovan Bratislava vs Mjallby AIF — Tips & Analysis

Slovan Bratislava -0.5: Slovan Bratislava won the first leg 2-1 in Sweden with a late goal, and they come home in good shape to finish the job. They have won 10 of their last 14 games and they let in less than a goal a game. Mjällby could hardly arrive in worse condition. They are four games without a win, they were beaten 1-0 at home by Elfsborg on Saturday, and they are still without Timo Stavitski. They have also had three days' rest to Slovan's seven, which tells in the last half hour of a game like this. Mjällby have won 6, tied 6 and lost 5 of their last 17. That is a team who keep games close rather than win them, and they need to win this one. We see Slovan taking the lead and then controlling the night, with a 1-0 the most likely finish. A home win of any size does the job here. The one thing that worries us is Slovan's home record. They win far more easily on the road, and they score just over a goal a game at their own ground. They also lost 2-0 at home to Zemplín Michalovce in May. Mjällby have lost only one of their last eight away games and tied 5 of them, so they are hard to shake off. We still make Slovan the winners.