Celje vs Ararat-Armenia — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: The two teams want completely different games, and that is what makes goals likely. Celje trail 2-1 and must win by two to go through in 90 minutes, so they will pour men forward. Ararat-Armenia only need a tie, so they will drop deep and run at the space Celje leave behind. Celje are made for that kind of night in both directions. Their games have just over 3 goals in them on average, and 8 of their last 13 finished with 3 or more. The last six weeks have brought 2-2 and 3-3 ties. Ararat are dangerous on the road too. They score more than 2 goals a game away from home and they let in more than a goal a game. They will not be pinned back for the full 90 minutes. Our read is a 2-1 Celje win, and three goals lands this on the right side. The warning is obvious. Ararat only have to keep it tight. If they defend the way they did in Yerevan, this can finish 1-0 or 1-1 with the goals never arriving. Celje have also tied 3 of their 8 home games, which is not the profile of a side who blow games open. We still want the goals here.