V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Tips & Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima -1: Hiroshima are the best team in this league right now, and we want them to win this by a clear margin. They lead the table with 23 points and have won their last five. They have won 13 of their last 16 games, score more than 2 goals a game and let in under a goal a game. Best of all for us, they have won by 2 or more goals in 9 of their last 16. They have not lost by 2 or more goals once. Away from home they are just as controlled, with one loss in their last eight trips and under a goal a game let in. Nagasaki are going the other way. They score just over a goal a game, let in more than a goal a game and have taken two points from their last three league games. They have also been outplayed badly of late, making little and giving plenty away. The meetings tell the same story. All four have gone Hiroshima's way and three of them finished 0-2. That is our read again, a 0-2 away win, and that is exactly the margin this one needs. The risk is a tight game. Nagasaki have lost only once in eight home games at the Peace Stadium and beat Nagoya 2-0 there in September. One of Hiroshima's recent away wins was a 1-0, so a narrow night is possible. We still back Hiroshima to win by two.