FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Kashiwa Reysol do not play quiet games, and that is the heart of this one. Kashiwa's games have more than 4 goals in them on average, and 14 of their last 19 had 3 or more. They have not tied any of their last 19 games, so every single one found a winner. Their recent run includes a 4-2 win over Vissel Kobe, a 5-4 against Gamba and a 1-3 home loss to Nagoya. They have won six of eight away games and score more than 2 goals a game on the road. FC Tokyo are hard to score against, letting in under a goal a game. Their home games are not quiet though. Tokyo score more than 2 goals a game at Ajinomoto, and those games average more than 3 goals. Even their clean sheets come in 4-0 and 3-0 wins. Tokyo should lead this, Kashiwa will come back at them, and Tokyo see it out. A 2-1 is our read, and three goals does the job. The catch is the history. The 20 past meetings have averaged under 3 goals, and most of them had fewer than 3 goals in them. Tokyo also lost 0-1 to Mito Hollyhock in the League Cup a week ago, a sign they rotate across competitions. We still want the open game.