Aston Villa vs Viking — Tips & Analysis

Over 3.5: Both of these teams turn up in games full of goals, and that is the heart of the case here. Aston Villa are unbeaten in five and have won both of their first two Champions League games, 3-2 at Club Brugge and 6-0 at home to Fenerbahce. 10 of Villa's last 13 games had 3 or more goals. Their home form is the loose part of their season, at 1 win, 1 tie and 2 losses. They let in more than a goal a game at Villa Park. Viking are not a side that sits back. They score more than 2 goals a game, and 15 of their last 19 games had 3 or more goals. They held Bayern Munich 3-3 in Stavanger and scored away at Stuttgart, so the goal threat is real. Villa have to push for the win, and Viking will go after them. A 3-1 Villa win is our read, and four goals does the job. The honest catch is that both teams have played plenty of quiet games too. 12 of Viking's 19 games and 7 of Villa's 13 finished with three goals or fewer. Villa are without Amadou Onana and Matteo Ruggeri, and previews point to a changed side, which could cool the game down. We still expect an open night with goals at both ends.