Lincoln vs West Ham — Tips & Analysis

Lincoln +1: West Ham have the better squad here, but they are a different team on the road, and that is what keeps Lincoln in this. West Ham have won 2, tied 3 and lost 2 in seven away trips, letting in 2 goals a game on those days. They score more than 2 goals a game overall and beat Wrexham 6-0 last month, so the quality is real. Lincoln are the problem the other way. They have won only one of their five home games and sit 17th, and they let in almost 2 goals a game there. They were beaten 0-3 at Sheffield United last time out, and Tendayi Darikwa and Mason Melia are both out. The shape of this is easy to see. West Ham games are busy, with 13 of their last 16 bringing 3 or more goals. Lincoln will get opened up at times, but a West Ham back line that leaks away from home should let them have a goal of their own. A 1-2 West Ham win is the likeliest finish, and a tight one goal game is all we are asking for. The warning is simple. West Ham have won by 2 or more goals in 6 of their last 16, and if they turn up properly Lincoln have no answer. Lincoln are also set to change their team around, so the home side is hard to call. We still think Lincoln stay close enough here.