Jubilo Iwata vs Kawasaki Frontale — Tips & Analysis

Under 3: Neither of these teams scores much in these circumstances, and that is the heart of this pick. Iwata take just over a goal a game from their own ground and their home record there reads 3W-3D-4L. They let in more than a goal a game, so they are not the side to blow a tie open. Kawasaki are the stronger name, but they manage only a goal a game in away matches. They ground out a 1-0 at third tier Roasso Kumamoto to reach this round, which is the shape this tie most resembles. Kawasaki also come in on three days' rest after a 1-2 home loss to Nagoya. Only 9 of their last 19 games had 3 or more goals. A single leg cup tie with a 20 man squad limit pushes both sides towards caution. A 1-1 is the likeliest result, and a night like that keeps this pick well clear of trouble. The warning is the history between them. These two have met 18 times and those games averaged almost 4 goals, with most of them reaching 3 or more. Kawasaki have also been creating far more than their scoring suggests, so one early goal could change the shape of it. We still think this one stays tight and quiet.