DC United vs New York Red Bulls — Tips & Analysis

New York Red Bulls +0.75: DC United do not beat teams by much, and that is the first reason we are with the Red Bulls. DC have won by 2 or more goals in only 1 of their last 18 games. They have tied 9 of those 18, so half their nights end level. They score more than a goal a game and let in almost 2, and they have been short of chances over their last three games. L. Munteanu and G. Segal are both out with leg injuries. The Red Bulls are dull going forward but hard to break down on the road. In nine away trips they score about a goal a game and let in just over a goal. That run includes 1-0 wins at NYCFC and Columbus and a 0-0 in Seattle. The history says the same thing. The last 20 meetings have averaged under 3 goals, and DC have won only 4 of them with 7 ties. Both teams come in on four days' rest, and neither looks able to pull clear early. A 1-1 is the likeliest finish, and that is the result we are banking on. The honest risk is the away side's bad days. The Red Bulls have lost by 2 or more goals in 8 of their last 20, so when they go behind they can come apart. DC's own games are busy, and their last two were 0-4 and 3-3. We still think the Red Bulls get something here.