Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund — Tips & Analysis

Over 3.25: Both of these teams play open, busy football, and that is the clearest case of the night. Bodo/Glimt have won all eight home games on their own turf, scoring 3 goals a game and letting in less than one. Their games average just over 4 goals, and 16 of their last 18 had 3 or more goals. Dortmund do not shut games down either. They have let in two or more goals in three of their last five: 2-2 with Werder Bremen, 3-2 against Villarreal and 3-2 at Hoffenheim. On the road they score just over 2 goals a game. Dortmund are also missing Can, Lerma, Konstantelias and Mane, with Ryerson and Chukwuemeka doubtful, so the middle of the pitch is thin. Bodo lose Bjortuft to suspension after his red card against Bayern. The artificial pitch and the trip inside the Arctic Circle make this an awkward night for the visitors, and awkward games get stretched. A 2-2 looks the likeliest finish, and that is exactly what the only previous meeting between these two produced. The warning is the 0-5 Bodo took at Bayern on matchday one. Top sides can shut them down, so a tight Dortmund win is live. We still want the goals.