SHANGHAI SIPG vs Daejeon Citizen — Tips & Analysis

Daejeon Citizen +0.25: Shanghai are the better side on paper, but their home ground has been a slog. They have won two, tied five and lost one of their last eight games at Pudong. They score just over a goal a game there and let in under one. Their last four home games finished 0-0, 2-1, 1-1 and 0-1. Shanghai have also won by 2 or more goals in only 4 of their last 20 games, so big home wins are not their habit. Daejeon come in on a good run. They have not lost in their last five, with three wins and two ties. They also won their opening game in this competition 1-0 against Kyoto Sanga. Shanghai gave up more chances than they made across their last two games. The gap between these teams is smaller than the table suggests. The clubs have never met and both have had four days off, so expect a careful, low tempo night. A 1-1 is the likeliest end to it, and that result works for us. The honest worry is how Daejeon travel. They have won three, tied three and lost four away from home, and they let in more than a goal a game on the road. Shanghai score more than 2 goals a game away from Pudong, and that version of them would stretch Daejeon. We still want Daejeon to stay close.