RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven — Tips & Analysis

Over 3.5: Both of these teams play in busy, high-scoring games, and that is the simple case for goals. Leipzig's games have averaged 4 goals in total. PSV's have averaged just over 4. Leipzig have had 3 or more goals in 12 of their last 14 games, and PSV in 12 of their last 15. Leipzig are a different team at the Red Bull Arena. They have won all six of their home games there, scoring just over 3 goals a game. That run includes a 6-0 win over Eintracht Frankfurt and a 5-0 over Hamburger SV. PSV come to score as well. They score just over 3 goals a game and let in just over one. They have won 10 of their last 15, they travel well, and they will push men forward instead of sitting in. That is the key point here. Neither side defends deep and neither has a reason to, so this should be an open, end to end game. We read it as a 3-1 Leipzig win, which is enough for the goals we want. Here is the honest catch. PSV are missing a big part of their attack, with Pepi, Plea, Lammers and Wanner all out, so their scoring could dry up. Leipzig have let in next to nothing at home too, so an early goal and a quiet night is possible. We still expect goals at both ends.