Millwall vs Swansea — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: This game has been a grind for years. The last 16 meetings between these two averaged 2 goals in total, and fewer than half of them produced 3 or more. That history fits both teams right now. Swansea are top of the table and hard to score against, letting in under a goal a game. They have already had 0-0 ties with Wrexham and Sheffield Utd, and their games have averaged just over 2 goals in total. Millwall are not the side to break that pattern. They score just over a goal a game and let in a similar number. They also have five players ruled out, including Coburn, De Norre, Ivanovic, Jensen and Luongo. Even their wins in this matchup have been quiet ones. Millwall took four of the last five meetings, three of them 1-0. Swansea have won five of their seven away games and lost just one, and they are happy to squeeze a game flat. A 0-1 away win is the likeliest finish, and one goal leaves us plenty of room. The case against is Swansea's scoring. They have had 3 or more goals in 9 of their last 15 games, and the most recent meeting finished 2-1. Millwall have also made more chances in their last four games than their scoring shows. We still expect a tight, low-scoring night.