Công An Nhân Dân vs Kashima — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Kashima are the big reason to back goals here. Their games have more than 3 goals in them on average, and 11 of their last 19 ended with 3 or more. They are a different team on the road, letting in more than 2 goals a game away from home. That run includes a 2-4 at Mito Hollyhock and a 3-3 at Kawasaki in the last six weeks. Công An Nhân Dân will not sit back either. They have won all seven of their home games at Hang Day, scoring just over 3 goals a game there. They have won by 2 or more goals in 9 of their last 20. Kashima still have the better players. They top the East region after a 7-1 win over Newcastle Jets and score more than 2 goals a game. Công An Nhân Dân's only game this campaign against a J1 side ended 1-4 at Gamba Osaka, a night with goals at both ends. Kashima have given up more chances than they have made across their last three games, which points to an open, mistake filled night rather than a controlled one. A 1-2 is our read, and that sits on the right side of the goals bet. The warning is the home defence. Công An Nhân Dân let in under a goal a game, and only 10 of their last 20 games had 3 or more goals. A tight 1-0 for them beats us. We still want the goals.