Burnley vs Charlton — Tips & Analysis

Charlton +1: Burnley rarely beat anyone by much. They have won by 2 or more goals in only 1 of their last 14 games, and they have won just 1 of those 14 in total. That is the backbone of the case for Charlton. Turf Moor has become a place for ties. Burnley have tied six of their seven home games, scoring just over a goal a game and letting in a bit more. Their 4-0 win at Watford three days ago was a one-off, and they come into this with 13 players ruled out and three fitness doubts. Charlton are no better going forward, but they do not need to be. Their last five games read tie, loss, tie, tie, loss, and two of those were 0-0. Neither side is making many chances. Both teams had 3 days since their last game, and the long Burnley casualty list points to a careful, scrappy night. A 1-1 is the likeliest finish, and a point apiece is enough for us. The worry is Charlton on the road. They let in more than 2 goals a game away from home and have lost four of their seven trips, including a 0-4 at Stoke. They have also lost by 2 or more goals in 4 of their last 14. Burnley are toothless enough that we still take Charlton to stay with them.