Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan — Tips & Analysis

Beijing Guoan +0.5: Beijing Guoan are the strongest team in this game by a clear distance. They have lost once in their last 20 games, and they have not lost any of their last ten away games, winning six and tying four. They score more than 2 goals a game and have won by 2 or more goals in 8 of their last 20. Buriram will still make it awkward. They are stubborn at Chang Arena, letting in a goal a game across eleven home games. They have also tied three of their last five, and their games have under 3 goals in them on average. Rest could matter here. Buriram played a 3-2 league game with Rayong on 10 October and get three days off. Guoan get four. Guoan won both of the last two meetings between these clubs, though those games came years ago with different squads. Add it up and this looks like a patient, physical contest rather than a rout. Guoan's quality in the final third should tell late, with Buriram getting on the board but coming up short. A 1-2 is our read, and a Guoan win of any size lands this pick. The risk is real. Buriram have the crowd and a defence that gives up very little at home. One early goal for them would turn this into a long night. We are still with Guoan.