Bristol City vs Blackburn — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Bristol City have turned Ashton Gate into a quiet place to watch football. Across their six home games they have scored under a goal a game and let in under a goal a game. That is the clearest reason to want a low-scoring night. Bristol City score just over a goal a game overall and let in a similar number, so big scores are not their habit. Blackburn have tied three of their seven away games and sit two points behind their hosts in the table. These two are evenly matched, and even games between careful teams rarely turn into high-scoring ones. The history says the same thing. Fewer than half of the last 20 meetings produced 3 or more goals, and those games averaged under 3 goals in total. Blackburn arrive close to full strength after a 2-1 win over Cardiff, so they have no need to chase this early. A 1-1 is the likeliest finish, and two goals sits well inside what we want. There is a fair warning on the other side. Blackburn have had 3 or more goals in 12 of their last 15 games, so they can get pulled into open matches. Bristol City have also made more chances in their last four games than their goal tally shows. We still want the quiet, low-scoring night here.