Arsenal vs Lille — Tips & Analysis

Lille +2: Lille hardly ever get beaten heavily, and that is the heart of this pick. They have lost by 2 or more goals in just 1 of their last 14 games. Arsenal are the better team and should win this one. They have won 13 of their last 17 and let in under a goal a game. Big wins are not their habit though. Arsenal have won by 2 or more in only 5 of their last 17 games. They have also had 3 or more goals in a game just 9 times in 17. Lille travel better than almost anyone. They have won five of their last six away games and let in under a goal a game on the road. They have won 8 of their last 14 overall and score more than a goal a game. Arsenal are short at the back too. Saliba, Hincapie and Zubimendi are all out, so the middle of the team is patched up. These clubs have never met, so neither has a read on the other. Expect Arsenal to keep the ball and Lille to sit in and counter. A 1-0 Arsenal win is the most likely result, and that keeps Lille comfortably inside what we need. The worry is Lille's own attack. Ethan Mbappe is suspended and Igamane is injured, so if they cannot hold the ball they could get stretched late. Arsenal still rarely run away with games, and we are happy taking Lille to stay close.