West Ham vs QPR — Tips & Analysis

West Ham -1: West Ham have been hard to handle at home, and that is why we are on them. They have won six of their nine games at the London Stadium, scoring more than 2 goals a game and letting in just over one. The underlying work backs it up. Over their last four games West Ham have made almost 3 goals' worth of chances a game and given up just over one. They have won 8, tied 3 and lost 5 of their last 16 overall. QPR are well organised and sixth in the table, but they score only 1 goal a game. Their games average just over 2 goals in total, and they arrive with five players out, Ilias Chair among them. That takes away most of their creativity. West Ham have gaps of their own, with Kante suspended, Veltman out, and Areola and Soucek both doubtful. The last five meetings have gone 3 wins and 2 ties to West Ham, with no QPR win. We read this as a 2-0, with West Ham on top of the ball all night and QPR unable to punish them. A two-goal win is what we want. The honest flag is that West Ham have won by 2 or more goals in only 6 of their last 16 games. QPR have tied 6 of their last 14 and make more chances than their goal column shows. We still back West Ham to win this with room to spare.