SC Braga vs Sporting CP — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Sporting are the reason we want goals here. They score more than 2 goals a game, and 12 of their last 16 games finished with 3 or more goals. Across that run they have won 8, tied 6 and lost 2, and they have won by 2 or more goals 7 times. Braga are the awkward part of the case, so we will be straight about it. They have lost once in their last 14 and let in well under a goal a game, with five wins from six at their own ground. Their games have averaged 2 goals in total. What tips this our way is the history and the team news. The last 20 meetings between these two averaged 3 goals, so this is not a pairing that usually stays shut. Both back lines are missing pieces as well. Sporting are without the suspended Zeno Debast and Vagiannidis is a doubt, and Braga are missing Sikou Niakate long term with Lagerbielke a doubt after illness. The single most likely score is still 1-1, and the last three meetings all finished level, two of them 1-1. So this needs the game to open up, and Sporting carry the players to do exactly that. The caution is Braga's floor, with 7 of their last 14 games ending with fewer than 2 goals. We are still on goals here.