PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen — Tips & Analysis

Heerenveen +2.25: PSV are missing too many forwards to be trusted with a big win here. Pepi, Plea and Lammers are all unavailable, and that is only part of it. PSV have eight players out in total and another doubtful, so the team is hard to call after a 19 day break. They are still the far better side. PSV score just over 3 goals a game and have won 10 of their last 15. They have won by 2 or more goals in 8 of those 15, so the firepower is not in question. The point is that Heerenveen do not get taken apart. They have lost by 2 or more goals in only three of their last 15 games. Five of their last 15 matches finished level, and there is a 0-0 in their last five results. Their games are quiet, with almost 3 goals in them on average. PSV have won 11 of the last 19 meetings, but six of those 19 ended level, so Heerenveen are not easy prey for them. We read this 3-1 to PSV, with Heerenveen taking one on the counter and staying within two goals. The risk is plain. If the stand in forwards click straight away, PSV can win by three or four at home, and they have the scoring to do it. This is not a comfortable sit, but we think Heerenveen keep it close enough.