Moreirense vs GIL Vicente — Tips & Analysis

Moreirense +0.25: Nothing separates these two, which is the whole case for taking Moreirense with a head start. They are level on eight points, Moreirense 12th and Gil Vicente 9th. Gil Vicente have not won any of their last seven away games, with four ties and three losses in them. They score under a goal a game on the road, and they are missing Walace Franca, Tchaptchet and Bamba. That is a lot to take out of an attack that was already quiet. Moreirense are not much better going forward. They barely score, under a goal a game, and they let in more than one. They have won by 2 or more goals just once in their last 15. Neither side is built to blow the other away. Moreirense do own the longer record between them, winning eight of the last 18 meetings with five ties. Those games are low scoring on the whole, averaging almost 3 goals across the 18-game series. The last five produced 4, 3, 2, 1 and 1 goal. A 1-1 is the natural finish, and Moreirense not losing is all we are really asking for. The caution here is genuine. Moreirense let in more than a goal a game. They have lost by 2 or more in four of their last 15, so one mistake can decide it. Gil Vicente are the steadier of the two at the back. We will still take the head start.