Lens vs Lyon — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.25: The case for a quiet night starts with where both of these teams are at. Lens have won 8, tied 4 and lost 4 of their last 16 games, and they sit 15th in Ligue 1 with four points from five. At Bollaert-Delelis they are tighter still. Across eight home games Lens let in under a goal a game and score under 2 goals a game themselves. Lyon are the better side right now, unbeaten in five and second in the table, but their away football has been flat. Six trips have brought just over a goal scored and a goal let in each time, including a 0-0 at Paris FC. Lyon look happy to sit in and take what the counter gives them. The last 19 meetings between these two have averaged 2.8 goals, so the pairing fits that read. We see this ending 1-1, with Lens short of ideas and Lyon in no rush, which keeps us well clear. The honest worry is that Lens won the last meeting 4-0, so a one-sided night is in this pairing. Lyon also arrive with a patched back line, missing Niakhate and Ouedraogo with Tagliafico rested. Both teams' games have run just over 3 goals on average too. We still want the low-scoring game here.