IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Both of these teams turn up in open games, and that is the case for goals here. IFK Goteborg have won their last five in a row and arrive on a real high. Their games have just over 3 goals in them on average, and 11 of their last 17 finished with three or more. Vasteras are the bigger reason to expect goals. They let in 2 goals a game on their travels, a run that includes a 0-6 at Djurgardens and a 0-3 at Elfsborg. They score at the other end too, with nine of their last 18 games reaching three goals or more. Recent meetings tell the same story. The last four games between them averaged almost 4 goals, including a wild 5-4 in May. Goteborg are missing Hermannsson through suspension and Mucolli with a knee problem, and both teams have been idle for 20 days. Rusty legs and loose defending early tend to help the busier game. We read this as a 2-1 Goteborg win, which puts us on the right side without much room to spare. The honest worry is Gamla Ullevi. Goteborg's home games have been quieter, with more than 2 goals a game rather than three. Vasteras are also all or nothing on the road, so the flat version of them would kill this. We still want the goals.