Urawa vs Omiya Ardija — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Goals follow Urawa around. Five of their last six games produced three goals or more, and they scored three times in four of those six. Urawa are built for open games, not control. They score almost 2 goals a game and let in more than a goal a game, so their matches rarely stay quiet. 10 of their last 17 had 3 or more goals, and their games average just over 3 goals in total. Omiya add to that. They also score almost 2 goals a game, and 12 of their last 19 games had 3 or more goals. They are unbeaten in five league games and arrive with nothing to lose against a bigger club. These two tied 2-2 in August, so Omiya can clearly hurt this defence. Urawa have had 8 days since their last game and Omiya only 3. Tired legs late in a cup tie usually mean more space, not less. A 2-1 Urawa win is the likeliest result, and three goals is enough for us. There is a real catch here. Omiya's recent league run has been tight rather than open, with 0-0, 0-0, 1-1 and 1-1 in four of their last five. The last 12 meetings between them averaged almost 3 goals, which is near the mark rather than clear of it. We still back the busier game.