Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki — Tips & Analysis

V-varen Nagasaki +0.5: Shimizu S-pulse do not beat teams up. They have won by 2 or more goals in just 1 of their last 18 games. That is the whole case for taking Nagasaki to stay with them. Shimizu score under a goal a game and have won 6, tied 4 and lost 8 of their last 18. They have won three of their last four, but they gave up plenty of chances doing it, so that run looks shakier than the results. V-varen Nagasaki carry more of a threat going forward. They score more than a goal a game and have won 7 of their last 18. This matchup has been tight for years. In the last 10 meetings Shimizu have won 4, tied 3 and lost 3, so neither side pulls clear. Both teams have had 8 days off, so nobody has a tiredness excuse. A 1-1 is the likeliest single score, and a level, low-event game is the shape we want. Now the warning. Nagasaki have been poor on the road, losing six of their eight away games, and they were beaten 0-2 by J3 side Gainare Tottori last time out. They have also lost by 2 or more goals in 4 of their last 18, so a bad night is possible. The reason we stay with them is Shimizu: a side that scores under a goal a game is not the side to punish anyone. We will take Nagasaki to come away with something here.