Kawasaki Frontale vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Todoroki has been a goal feast this season. Kawasaki's last five home games each produced at least four goals: 3-3, 3-1, 4-2, 3-1 and 2-2. That is the strongest reason to back goals here. Kawasaki are a big part of it. They score just over 2 goals a game at their own ground, where they have won 5 of 9. They also let in more than a goal a game. They also create far more than they score, so the chances are there even when the finishing is not. Tegevajaro Miyazaki will not just sit back. They score more than a goal a game and have won 9 of their last 19. They beat Jubilo Iwata 1-0 in the last round of this cup. They do defend well, letting in just over a goal a game. The schedule helps the goals case. Kawasaki have had 8 days to rest. Tegevajaro played on Sunday and come in on 3 days. Tired legs late in a cup tie tend to leak goals. A 2-1 Kawasaki win is the likeliest single score, and that clears this bet. Now the honest part. Over the whole season only 9 of Kawasaki's last 19 games had 3 or more goals, and the same count holds for Tegevajaro. So this home goal rush is a recent habit, not a season-long one. Kawasaki also change their side for this cup, and a weaker lineup would cool it. We still want the goals.