New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.5: New York's games have been quiet lately, and the team news points the same way. Their last four produced 1, 1, 2 and 0 goals in total, and 12 of their last 20 games finished with 3 goals or fewer. New York are missing eight players to international duty, including top scorer Julian Hall and his 10 goals. A patched-up side will sit deep and try to keep this tight. They have done exactly that before, with back-to-back 1-0 away wins at New York City and Columbus. New York score just over a goal a game, and at their own ground they have won 2, tied 3 and lost 5. St. Louis do not need a wild game to win here. They have lost once in their last 20, and on the road they score almost 2 goals a game and let in a goal a game. Rafael Navarro is scoring plenty for them. All of that points to a 0-2 St. Louis win, which is a comfortable night for us. The risk is real though. St. Louis's last five league games finished 3-1, 4-2, 2-2, 3-1 and 3-3, so every one of them had four goals or more. New York have had 12 days without a game, and a rusty back line could turn this into a busy night. We still expect the quieter game.