Palermo vs Mantova — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Mantova are the reason to take goals here. Ten of their last 16 games have had 3 or more goals in them. They score almost 2 goals a game and they won 2-0 away at Lazio in the last round, so they travel without fear. Palermo can score too. They have won 6 of their 7 home games this season and get 2 goals a game at the Barbera. Now the honest part. This needs three goals, and the most likely single score is a tight 1-0 to Palermo. Palermo's home defence has been mean, with only 4 goals let in across those 7 games. Only 5 of Palermo's last 14 games have had 3 or more goals. Three of the four meetings between these two ended level, at 0-0, 2-2 and 1-1. So what has to go right? Heavy changes are normal for a cup tie, and Inzaghi is set to rotate a lot, with Fortin in goal for the injured Joronen. Changed back lines and an even game are how these ties open up, and Mantova have the attack to punish that. This is a genuine ask, and we know it. Mantova's games keep producing goals, and that is the side of this we want.