Cagliari vs Hellas Verona — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Neither of these teams can score. Cagliari get less than a goal a game and Verona barely score at all. Cagliari have won three of their last four, but they have not been winning big. They have not won by 2 or more goals once in their last 16 games. At home they score less than a goal a game and let in about one. That is a team that grinds out 1-0s. Verona are in worse shape. They have won once in their last 16 and are now in Serie B after going down. They have not won by 2 or more goals in that run either. The counts back this up. 9 of Cagliari's last 16 games finished with 2 goals or fewer, and 10 of Verona's did. Verona have not played in a 5 goal game in those 16. The last 19 meetings between the clubs averaged just over 2 goals. There is one more reason to expect a quiet night. This is a knockout round, and a level score after 90 minutes means extra time, so nobody has to chase. The risks are honest ones. Verona have made better chances lately than their results show. Heavy changes are normal in this round, so both back lines may be unfamiliar. A 1-0 to Cagliari is our read, and we are happy taking the low scoring game.