V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka — Tips & Analysis

Gamba Osaka -0.25: Gamba are the better side here, and Nagasaki are in real trouble. Nagasaki sit 18th of 20 in the J1 table, in the bottom three, with 3 points from four games and a goal difference of -5. Their attack has dried up as well, with almost nothing created in their last two games. They have won 7, tied 2 and lost 9 of their last 18, and FC Tokyo beat them 3-0 at Peace Stadium last time out. Gamba have won four and tied three of their last nine away games, losing two. They score more than a goal a game and let in just over a goal a game, so they travel well without ever crushing teams. Expect Gamba to hold the ball through midfield and get in front. Nagasaki still score more than a goal a game at Peace Stadium, so they should get on the board. That looks more like a consolation than a comeback. A 1-2 Gamba win is the shape we see, and that is enough for this pick. The warning is the table and the history. Gamba are only 12th themselves on 5 points, so this is no mismatch on paper. Nagasaki have also won 3 of the last 9 meetings, and those games averaged just over 4 goals, so an early home goal would change the night. We still want Gamba to win this one.