Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Machida's home ground has been the quietest place in this league. They have not lost in nine games there, winning eight and tying one. They let in just 2 goals across that whole run. Machida score almost 2 goals a game and let in less than a goal a game. Only 7 of their last 19 games had 3 or more goals in them. Kawasaki are the other side of this. They score 1 goal a game on the road and are 2W-3D-4L away from home. They have not lost in their last five games, but three of those were ties. Their last two meetings both finished 1-1. Neither side has found a way to blow the other away. Expect Machida to control the game, take the lead, then add a second late as Kawasaki push up. A 2-0 Machida win looks the most likely result, and that is a low scoring night. The older history is the warning. The seven meetings in this series have averaged almost 4 goals a game, and they include a 3-5 and a 1-4. Kawasaki also carry real pace on the break, so one early goal would change the shape of this. We still expect a tight game with few goals.