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Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren — Tips & Analysis

Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
LWLLD
12th in SPR
0-1
Thu 3 Sept, 01:45 ICT
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
DLWWL
2nd in SPR
📍 Rugby Park
⭐ Our Pick
Over/Under❌ Lost
Over 2.5@1.79
Confidence58%
18+ · T&Cs apply
Why we like this pick
Over 2.5: Kilmarnock cannot keep the ball out right now. Their three league games this season finished 0-4 to Dundee Utd, 1-5 to Celtic and 3-4 at St Johnstone. They sit bottom with no points and a -9 goal difference, and 11 of their last 18 games had 3 or more goals. Their games have just over 3 goals in them on average. Defender Robbie Deas is expected to miss out with an ankle injury, which does not help a back line that is already letting in goals. St Mirren arrive second in the table on 7 points and they score almost 2 goals a game on the road. They come in off a 3-3 tie at home with Motherwell, so they are in the mood too. Put a defence that is picked apart every week against a side that is scoring freely and goals should follow. Kilmarnock do score at Rugby Park as well, so this points to goals at both ends. A 1-2 St Mirren win is the likely result, and that is the busy sort of night we want. The caution is the history. The last 20 meetings averaged almost 3 goals, and Kilmarnock are unbeaten in the last five against St Mirren, a run that includes a 0-0 and a 2-0. St Mirren are also on a three-day turnaround and may change the team. We still expect the goals to come.
Recent Form
Kilmarnock3W 2D 3L
L0-4vs Dundee Utd (H)29 Aug 26Premiership
W3-2vs Ayr Utd (H)14 Aug 26League Cup
L1-5vs Celtic (H)9 Aug 26Premiership
L3-4vs ST Johnstone (A)2 Aug 26Premiership
D0-0vs Peterhead (A)25 Jul 26League Cup
W1-0vs Hamilton Academical (H)21 Jul 26League Cup
W1-0vs Elgin City (A)18 Jul 26League Cup
D0-0vs Raith Rovers (H)14 Jul 26League Cup
ST Mirren5W 1D 2L
D3-3vs Motherwell (H)30 Aug 26Premiership
L1-5vs Rangers (A)16 Aug 26League Cup
W1-0vs ST Johnstone (H)8 Aug 26Premiership
W2-0vs Falkirk (A)1 Aug 26Premiership
L0-1vs Dunfermline (H)26 Jul 26League Cup
W4-3vs East Kilbride (H)21 Jul 26League Cup
W4-0vs Cove Rangers (A)18 Jul 26League Cup
W4-0vs Dumbarton (A)11 Jul 26League Cup
Form Stats
KilmarnockKilmarnock
ST MirrenST Mirren
1.13
Avg scored
2.38
1.88
Avg conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
63%
38%
Both score
38%
50%
Clean sheet
50%
38%
Failed to score
13%
Head-to-Head
ST Mirren
0 - 3
Kilmarnock
9 May 2026 · Premiership
Kilmarnock
4 - 3
ST Mirren
11 Feb 2026 · Premiership
ST Mirren
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
27 Dec 2025 · Premiership
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
ST Mirren
4 Oct 2025 · Premiership
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
ST Mirren
19 Sept 2025 · League Cup
Scottish Premiership Standings
#TeamWDLGDPTSForm
1Celtic300+69WWW
2ST Mirren210+37DWW
3Heart Of Midlothian201+46WWL
4Dundee202+26LWWL
5Hibernian201+16WWL
6Motherwell120+15DDW
7Rangers11104WLD
8Dundee Utd112-24WLLD
9ST Johnstone102-13LLW
10Aberdeen102-23LLW
11Falkirk012-31LDL
12Kilmarnock003-90LLL
Team Sheet
ST Mirren4-2-3-1 · 👔 Craig McLeish
1Chapman
3John
53Fieldson
13Gogić
47Ramsay
8Carr
48Nsio
19Kabia
23Mochrie
30Taylor
25Agrafiotis
1Stryjek
15Yfeko
14Stanger
4McCarthy
21Schjønning-Larsen
11Kiltie
18Lowery
5O'Hara
8Ring
10John-Jules
9Hugill
Kilmarnock3-5-2 · 👔 N. McCann
Match Events
Fraser Taylorassist Nikolas Agrafiotis
4'
How the Match Went
KilmarnockKilmarnock
ST MirrenST Mirren
43%
Possession
57%
9
Shots
10
2
Shots on target
1
7
Corners
3
12
Fouls
13
2
Yellow cards
2
2
Offsides
1