JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: The case here is simple. Chiba do not score, and Okayama do not let in many. Chiba are bottom of the league with no points from four games and a goal difference of -11. They have not scored in three of their last four league games, losing 0-2, 0-4 and 0-3. They have also won one of their nine home games. Okayama let in under a goal a game and score more than a goal a game. Only 7 of Okayama's last 15 games had 3 or more goals in them. They are 2W-2D-3L on the road and lost 1-2 at Nagoya last time out. This is not a side that runs up big scores, and it does not need to be. Okayama should get in front, take control of the middle of the pitch and see it out. Chiba offer almost nothing going the other way. A 0-2 Okayama win looks the most likely result, and that keeps the goal count down. The warning is Chiba's own games. 12 of their last 19 had 3 or more goals in them, and that is because they let in more than 2 a game. If Okayama score early and Chiba have to chase, a third goal is live. We still want the quiet game here.