Dundee vs ST Johnstone — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Quiet games are the pattern here. The last 20 meetings between these two averaged just over 2 goals, and only 6 of St Johnstone's last 17 games had 3 or more goals. Dundee have been strong at Dens Park, with 6 wins from 7 there, and they let in under a goal a game at home. Their attack is thinner than it was, because Simon Murray is out long term. St Johnstone have come up from the Championship and are finding the top flight harder. They have won just one of their past 15 league games on the road. They have been hard to score against, but a lot of that record was built in a lower division and in cup ties against smaller clubs. So one side is at home and in control, the other travels badly and sets up to keep things tight. That points to a slow evening with few clear chances. A 1-0 Dundee win is the likely result, and a night like that is exactly what we want. There is a warning. Dundee's own games have been busy, with 10 of their last 15 having 3 or more goals, and they lost their most recent home game 1-2 to Hibernian. If Dundee go ahead early and St Johnstone have to chase, this can open up. We still want the low-scoring night.