Celtic vs Aberdeen — Tips & Analysis

Aberdeen +2: Aberdeen do not get beaten badly very often. They have lost by 2 or more goals in only 4 of their last 16 games, and that is the habit this pick leans on. Celtic are much the better side. They have won their last nine home games, scoring almost 3 goals a game and letting in under a goal a game. The problem is bodies. Alistair Johnston, Jota and Reo Hatate are all out, and Kieran Tierney, Kasper Høgh and Callum Osmand missed training this week. That is the depth Celtic use to turn a lead into a big win. Their wins are often narrow anyway. Six of their last 16 games were won by exactly one goal. Aberdeen come in tenth with three points from three, and they have won 2, tied 1 and lost 4 on the road. They score more than a goal a game away and let in just over a goal a game overall, so they usually stay in touch. Celtic have won 16 of the last 20 meetings, but those games averaged almost 4 goals, and Aberdeen tend to get on the board. A 2-1 Celtic win is the likely evening, and that keeps the gap small. The warning is real. Celtic have won by 2 or more goals in 8 of their last 16, and Aberdeen let in 2 goals a game away from Pittodrie. We still expect Aberdeen to keep this close enough.