Burnley vs Middlesbrough — Tips & Analysis

Burnley +0.25: This game keeps ending level. The last two meetings finished 0-0 and 1-1, and across the last 15 the record is five wins each with five ties. That history is the heart of this pick. Burnley have almost no attack, with under a goal a game and no win in their last 14. Even so, Turf Moor keeps producing the same result. They have tied five of their last seven home games and six of their last 14 overall. Middlesbrough are the better side and have been the better side underneath the results too. They have won 6 and tied 6 of their last 17, they let in just over a goal a game, and they beat West Brom 3-1 recently. The catch is their travelling. They have won only one of their last eight away games and tied four of them. They have also won by 2 or more goals just 3 times in their last 17. Breaking down a packed defence on the road is not their style. A 1-1 tie is the likely afternoon, with Boro having more of the ball and Burnley digging in. The risk here is real. Burnley are missing seven players, including Josh Cullen, Jordan Beyer and Josh Laurent, who is suspended after a red card. A side that thin can be picked off, and Boro have the quality to do it. We still side with Burnley staying in this game.