Toronto FC vs Charlotte — Tips & Analysis

Under 3: Toronto cannot score, and that is the base of this pick. They are down six players. Osorio, Matheus Pereira, Gomis, Kerr and Palacio are all out, and Mihailovic is suspended after a red card. A team that thin does not create much. Toronto have won only 4 of their last 20 games, and they have not won by 2 or more goals once in that run. They have tied 8 of the 20, including 5 of 11 at BMO Field, so quiet nights are normal here. Charlotte are happy with that kind of game. They let in just over a goal a game and have won the last four meetings, 3-1, 2-0, 2-0 and 3-2. They have the players to keep the ball and squeeze the life out of a weakened home midfield. The shape is easy to picture. Charlotte hold the ball, Toronto sit in and offer little, and one goal decides it. A 0-1 to Charlotte looks the most likely finish, and a game like that is exactly what we want. There are two real worries. Toronto's home games have averaged almost 4 goals in total, well above the night we are expecting. Charlotte are also poor on their travels, 2W-0D-4L away and letting in 2 goals a game. We still expect a low scoring, controlled night.