Seattle Sounders vs Austin — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.25: This matchup has almost always been tight, and both teams arrive in poor shape. The last 11 meetings averaged 2 goals a game, and fewer than half of them had 3 or more goals. Seattle have lost five league games in a row and their squad is stripped bare. Arriola, Morris, de la Vega, Petkovic and Gomez Andrade are all out, and Roldan is doubtful. They score just over a goal a game as it is, so this attack is nowhere near full strength. Austin have been even worse on their travels. They have not won a road game all season, going 0W-3D-6L. They did not score in their last four away league games, losing 0-1, 0-3, 0-3 and 0-5. Both sides play on three days' rest, so changes and heavy legs are more likely than a fast, open game. A 1-0 to Seattle is the likeliest finish, and that is the sort of night these two keep producing. The risk is Austin's habit of falling apart on the road. They let in almost 3 goals a game away, and 12 of their last 17 games had 3 or more goals. They also won the meeting in July 3-1 at their own ground. An early Seattle goal could open this up, but the shape of both teams says goals will be hard to find. We want the quiet game.