Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami — Tips & Analysis

Over 3.25: These two produce goals almost every time they meet. Their last 14 games have averaged almost 4 goals, and nearly 4 in every 5 of them had 3 or more. They met in May and it finished 6-4. That history is the base of this pick. Miami are the biggest reason for it. They score more than 2 goals a game, their games average more than 4 goals in total, and 14 of their last 20 had 3 or more. On the road they have won 6, tied 1 and lost 1, scoring more than 2 a game and letting in almost 2. Lionel Messi is reported to be back for this one. Philadelphia are not a quiet team either. They have won 6, tied 5 and lost 9 of their last 20, and 12 of those games had 3 or more goals. Both sides play on 3 days' rest, and both have holes to cover at the back. Philadelphia lose Lukic to a suspension, and Miami are without Allende with Berterame among the doubts. A 2-3 to Miami looks the most likely finish, and five goals is plenty for this pick. The risk is Philadelphia's own ground. They let in a goal a game at Subaru Park, and if Messi does not start, the Miami attack looks a lot more ordinary. We still want goals here.