FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC — Tips & Analysis

FC Cincinnati -0.25: New York City arrive in a mess, and that is the strongest reason for this pick. Five of their players are ruled out, including Alonso Martinez and Maxi Moralez, and four more are doubtful. They have had only 3 days since their last game, a 3-2 home defeat to Philadelphia. Cincinnati have had 4. Cincinnati are a handful at TQL Stadium. They have won 7, tied 1 and lost 2 there, and they score just over 3 goals a game at their own ground. Their games are busy, with 15 of their last 19 having 3 or more goals. New York City have won 7, tied 4 and lost 9 of their last 20, and they have lost their last three. They normally keep games quiet and controlled, but this is not the squad to control anything. A patched up back line against a home side this direct gets opened more than once. A 3-1 to Cincinnati looks the most likely finish, and that is comfortably enough here. The honest risk is the history. New York City have won 10 of the last 20 games between these two. The pair also drew 4-4 in April, so Cincinnati are not always the ones on top. Nine names on the visiting injury list also means New York City could sit deep and make this awkward. We still expect a clear home win.