Fenerbahçe vs Lyon — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Fenerbahçe have a real problem in goal, and that is the main reason we want goals here. Both senior keepers are doubtful. Ederson is ill and Gunok has a muscle injury, which leaves them short in goal. Fenerbahçe are unbeaten at home at 6 wins and 2 ties, and they score more than 2 goals a game there. Ten of their last 17 games have had 3 or more goals in them. Lyon are not in great shape either. They have won 5, tied 4 and lost 5 of their last 14, and 8 of those 14 games had 3 or more goals. Fenerbahçe also come in tired. They have had 3 days since their last game to Lyon's 7, and they lost 2-1 at Genclerbirligi on 15 August. Tired legs late on can open a game up. Be clear about the risk though. All four of Fenerbahçe's Champions League qualifiers this season finished with two goals or fewer, and the only previous meeting between these clubs was a 0-0. Lyon barely score on the road, at under a goal a game, and they will be happy to keep this tight for the second leg. A 1-0 home win is the most likely single score, so this needs the game to break open. The keeper problem is why we think it can.