Union Berlin vs Ipswich — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.25: Ipswich are the reason we want this quiet, and they take the sting out of most games they play. They have lost only 1 of their last 15 games and tied 6 of them. They let in less than a goal a game, and only 7 of those 15 games had 3 or more goals. They won by 3 or more just twice in those 15 games. This is a team that keeps a game flat and takes the point. Union Berlin are the opposite and we will not pretend otherwise. They score just over a goal a game, they let in almost 2, and 8 of their last 12 games had 3 or more goals. That is the honest hole in this one. What helps us is the state both sides are in. Union have gone 91 days without a game and Ipswich 105, so nobody is near full speed. Two rusty teams in August usually slow into a careful rhythm, with changes on the hour and heavy legs after it. A 1-1 is the likely finish, and that sits well inside what we need. The clear danger is Union's habit of loose, open games at their own ground. If this gets stretched early, the goals can pile up quickly. We still expect a slow, low scoring night.