Udinese vs Padova — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Udinese games are quiet, and that is the heart of this one. Only 4 of their last 13 games had 3 or more goals. They score just over a goal a game and let in under one. At their own ground they score under a goal a game. Their summer has been slow going too. They lost three of their first four warm up games, and their only wins came in short 45 minute matches. Padova are in good form under new coach Antonio Calabro, with a 2-0 win over Cittadella behind them. They are not a side that runs up scores, though. Padova score just over a goal a game and have not won by 2 or more goals once in their last 16. A knockout tie brings out the careful side of both teams as well. Udinese have too much quality to go out here, but they will do it narrowly and without much fuss. A 1-0 home win is the likely night, and that sits well inside what we want. The one worry is how Padova are playing right now. They tied 3-3 with Monza in their last warm up, and former Udinese striker Kevin Lasagna scored twice that day. The only previous meeting between these clubs also produced five goals. We still expect a quiet night.