Toulouse vs Hamburger SV — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.25: Neither of these teams is built to turn a game into a shootout, and that is the case for a quiet night here. Toulouse have won 5, tied 5 and lost 8 of their last 18 games. They score just over a goal a game, and their matches have averaged under 3 goals in total. Their home games last season were quieter still, with less than a goal a game scored and just over one let in across eight. Hamburger SV are the better side and should shade this. They still only score just over a goal a game themselves. Toulouse arrive short handed, missing five players including attacker Yann Gboho, and they lost their last friendly 3-0 to Elche. Neither side has played a competitive game since mid May. Rusty legs and rolling changes after the hour tend to break a game up rather than open it. A 1-2 to Hamburg looks the likeliest finish, and that lands on the right side of a low total. The warning is the Hamburg defense. They let in almost 2 goals a game, and their matches have averaged just over 3 goals in total. This is also a friendly, so selection and effort can swing either way. We still want the quiet game here.