Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano — Tips & Analysis

Over 2: Rayo turn up with their back line pulled apart. Luiz Felipe is out with a hamstring problem, Mendez is out with a knee injury, and Kumbulla is a muscle doubt. That is a lot of change in the one place a team least wants it. Sevilla are not built to keep games quiet either. They finished 13th last season, a point off going down, and they let in more than a goal a game. Six of their last 13 games had 3 or more goals, and their games have almost 3 goals in them on average. Rayo are a good side, with 8 wins, 3 ties and 5 losses in their last 16. They are a different team on the road though. They won only 3 of their 8 away games, and they let in more than a goal a game on those trips. Sevilla have scored in each of the last five meetings. They have also lost three regulars and are breaking in new signings. The most likely single score is still a tight 1-1, so we need this game to open up. With Rayo's defenders missing, there are real reasons to think it will. The recent history is the worry. Four of the last five meetings finished with 2 goals or fewer, and only 5 of Rayo's last 16 games had 3 or more. We still want the busier game.