Nashville SC vs Inter Miami — Tips & Analysis

Inter Miami +0.25: Inter Miami do not lose games like this. They have not lost in their last eight away trips, winning six and tying two. That run is the heart of the case for backing them here. Nashville are a real test. They top the Eastern Conference on 40 points and have won 6, tied 2 and lost 2 at home, letting in a goal a game there. What they do not do is win big. Nashville have won by 2 or more goals in only 4 of their last 20 games. Miami bring the better attack. They score more than 2 goals a game and have won 10, tied 7 and lost only 3 of their last 20. The two league meetings this year finished 1-1 and 0-0, so these sides know each other far too well to be pulled apart easily. Nashville also come in on three days' rest after losing 1-2 at Monterrey, one day fewer than Miami. Their press should fade late on. A 1-1 is the likeliest finish, with the first goal mattering more than the run of play. The one real worry is Miami's team news. Lionel Messi is not certain to play, Tadeo Allende is out with a knee problem, and three more names are in doubt. We are still backing Miami to come home unbeaten.